America de Cali 0-1 Deportivo Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 4 Nov 2024

📅04/11/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.61
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
22%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.27
No
58%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
23%
X/2
9%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
58%
-3.6pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.4pp
22%
Away Win
16%
+5.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.6pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
40%
+1.6pp
58%
BTTS No
60%
-1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 62%
Head to Head
AWAY Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 19%
+1% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +0%
1.54/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.83/1.28
+0% / +33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / -25%
55% Ball Possession 45%
17 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
338 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 74%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.6
16.3 Crosses 13.8
2.2 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Deportivo Cali
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
1.87 xG 0.79
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
309 Passes 222
78% Pass Accuracy 70%
16 Box Touches 15
8 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
24.10.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOLK
18.10.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOLK
13.04.2024 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 0-1 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
16.10.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 0-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
11.09.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 3-0 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
01.05.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 5-2 HT 3-1 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
0-1
AWAY Deportivo Cali
64% Ball Possession 36%
21 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 2
400 Passes 206
83% Pass Accuracy 74%
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali nicked a narrow win over America de Cali 1-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. America de Cali carried 55% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 64% of the ball to Deportivo Cali's 36%, shots finished 21-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, America de Cali had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for America de Cali and 0.50 for Deportivo Cali.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?

America de Cali 0-1 Deportivo Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 04/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Deportivo Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 55%, draw 23%, Deportivo Cali 22%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (America de Cali) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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