Santa Fe 0-0 Atletico Nacional — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.0
Draw
31%
3.11
Away
26%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.51
Over 2.5
35%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.13
No
62%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
46%
-2.8pp
31%
Draw
29%
+2.2pp
26%
Away Win
25%
+0.7pp
65%
Under 2.5
62%
+2.5pp
35%
Over 2.5
38%
-2.5pp
38%
BTTS Yes
43%
-5.2pp
62%
BTTS No
57%
+5.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Santa Fe EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Nacional EU Bookmakers 29%
+9% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -5%
1.23/0.81 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.06/1.14
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / +1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
276 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 78%
16.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.1
18.7 Crosses 13.3
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Santa Fe
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
0.94 xG 1.43
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
327 Passes 262
80% Pass Accuracy 77%
15 Box Touches 14
18 Crosses 12
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2023 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 3-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
12.05.2023 Santa Fe Santa Fe 0-2 HT 0-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
30.09.2022 Santa Fe Santa Fe 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOL
29.03.2022 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 2-1 HT 2-1 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOL
16.09.2021 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Fe Santa Fe KOLK
09.09.2021 Santa Fe Santa Fe 2-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Nacional Atletico Nacional KOLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Santa Fe
0-0
AWAY Atletico Nacional
0.39 xG 0.30
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
217 Passes 194
70% Pass Accuracy 67%
14 Box Touches 9
22 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Santa Fe and Atletico Nacional fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Santa Fe at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Santa Fe had 52% of the ball to Atletico Nacional's 48%, shots finished 9-9, expected goals 0.39 to 0.30.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Nacional led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Santa Fe and 1.67 for Atletico Nacional.

What was the final score of Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?

Santa Fe 0-0 Atletico Nacional in the Colombia - Primera on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional?

Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Fe win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Santa Fe 43%, draw 31%, Atletico Nacional 26%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Santa Fe) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Santa Fe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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