Boyaca Chico vs Patriotas Boyaca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Boyaca Chico v Patriotas Boyaca — Team-Based Signals
Boyaca Chico vs Patriotas Boyaca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 1-1
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
1-1
HT 0-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
2-0
HT 1-0
Boyaca Chico
KOL
1-0
HT 1-0
Patriotas Boyaca
KOL
Boyaca Chico 1-2 Patriotas Boyaca — Actual Match Statistics
Patriotas Boyaca squeezed past Boyaca Chico 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Boyaca Chico at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (64%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Boyaca Chico had 51% of the ball to Patriotas Boyaca's 49%, shots finished 14-10, expected goals 0.47 to 1.58.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Boyaca Chico had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Boyaca Chico and 0.83 for Patriotas Boyaca.
What was the final score of Boyaca Chico vs Patriotas Boyaca?
Boyaca Chico 1-2 Patriotas Boyaca in the Colombia - Primera on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Boyaca Chico vs Patriotas Boyaca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Boyaca Chico win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boyaca Chico 46%, draw 29%, Patriotas Boyaca 25%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.