Junior vs Envigado Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Junior v Envigado — Team-Based Signals
Junior vs Envigado Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-0
Junior
KOL
1-2
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
2-0
HT 2-0
Junior
KOL
4-0
HT 2-0
Envigado
KOL
1-0
HT 0-0
Envigado
KOL
2-2
HT 1-0
Junior
KOL
Junior 1-1 Envigado — Actual Match Statistics
Junior and Envigado shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Junior at 59% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Junior had 65% of the ball to Envigado's 35%, shots finished 17-11, expected goals 1.98 to 0.95.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Junior had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Junior and 1.17 for Envigado.
What was the final score of Junior vs Envigado?
Junior 1-1 Envigado in the Colombia - Primera on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Junior vs Envigado?
Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Junior 59%, draw 23%, Envigado 18%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Junior), BTTS No went the other way.