Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Millonarios — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.56
Over 2.5
40%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
2.16
No
53%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
10%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
19%
+4.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
49%
Away Win
54%
-5.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
60%
-0.1pp
40%
Over 2.5
40%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS Yes
42%
+4.7pp
53%
BTTS No
58%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Millonarios EU Bookmakers 57%
-18% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +2%
0.62/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.71
-36% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / -34%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
301 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
9.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.3
12.1 Crosses 15.8
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Millonarios
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
0.83 xG 1.26
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
262 Passes 376
76% Pass Accuracy 82%
12 Box Touches 19
13 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 3
21.11.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 2-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
04.11.2024 Millonarios Millonarios 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
15.04.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-3 HT 0-1 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
16.07.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 0-0 HT 0-0 Millonarios Millonarios KOL
23.03.2023 Millonarios Millonarios 2-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
10.07.2022 Millonarios Millonarios 1-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
0-0
AWAY Millonarios
0.36 xG 1.22
45% Ball Possession 55%
5 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 4
262 Passes 328
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 18
11 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto and Millonarios fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Millonarios at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 45% of the ball to Millonarios's 55%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.36 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Millonarios led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 1.50 for Millonarios.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?

Deportivo Pasto 0-0 Millonarios in the Colombia - Primera on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Millonarios?

Before kick-off our model rated an Millonarios win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 23%, draw 28%, Millonarios 49%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Millonarios) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Millonarios) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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