America de Cali 1-0 Junior — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 9 Dec 2024

📅09/12/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
1.6
Over 2.5
36%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.99
No
61%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
17%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
40%
+1.9pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.2pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.1pp
64%
Under 2.5
59%
+4.9pp
36%
Over 2.5
41%
-4.9pp
39%
BTTS Yes
46%
-6.7pp
61%
BTTS No
54%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME America de Cali EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Junior EU Bookmakers 36%
+2% / +16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -17% / -19%
1.48/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.03
+29% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / -4%
56% Ball Possession 44%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
351 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
22.3 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.3
16.4 Crosses 14.4
2.2 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME America de Cali
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Junior
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.22 xG 0.96
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
243 Passes 325
74% Pass Accuracy 79%
22 Box Touches 14
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.11.2024 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
28.10.2024 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.04.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
24.08.2023 Junior Junior 4-3 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.03.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.08.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME America de Cali
1-0
AWAY Junior
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
230 Passes 310
75% Pass Accuracy 79%
POST-MATCH America de Cali vs Junior
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

America de Cali squeezed past Junior 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had America de Cali as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (64%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, America de Cali had 44% of the ball to Junior's 56%, shots finished 17-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for America de Cali and 1.67 for Junior.

What was the final score of America de Cali vs Junior?

America de Cali 1-0 Junior in the Colombia - Primera on 09/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for America de Cali vs Junior?

Before kick-off our model rated a America de Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split America de Cali 42%, draw 29%, Junior 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (America de Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (America de Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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