Junior 1-0 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 22 Nov 2024

📅22/11/2024 · 🕒04:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
29%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.59
Over 2.5
45%
2.23
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
-0.4pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.9pp
29%
Away Win
27%
+1.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
59%
-4.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
41%
+4.1pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 31%
-11% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -21%
1.31/1.17 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.93/1.14
+14% / -31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
305 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 80%
18.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.7
15.9 Crosses 12.7
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-0D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.06 xG 1.18
58% Ball Possession 42%
8 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
341 Passes 221
80% Pass Accuracy 73%
15 Box Touches 19
14 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.10.2024 Junior Junior 3-1 HT 1-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
07.04.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
24.08.2023 Junior Junior 4-3 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.03.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.08.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
21.02.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
1-0
AWAY America de Cali
0.38 xG 0.61
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 24
3 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 10
256 Passes 355
74% Pass Accuracy 80%
9 Box Touches 26
5 Crosses 31
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior squeezed past America de Cali 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Junior as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Junior had 42% of the ball to America de Cali's 58%, shots finished 6-24, expected goals 0.38 to 0.61.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Junior and 2.00 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Junior vs America de Cali?

Junior 1-0 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 22/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Junior 43%, draw 28%, America de Cali 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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