Junior 3-1 America de Cali — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒02:20 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.46
Draw
27%
2.88
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.51
Over 2.5
41%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
37%
+3.1pp
27%
Draw
32%
-4.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
59%
Under 2.5
62%
-3.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
38%
+3.5pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.2pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Junior EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY America de Cali EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -1%
1.69/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.88/1.01
+13% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +0%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
302 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 77%
17.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.5
17.1 Crosses 11.7
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Junior
3W-0D-3L
AWAY America de Cali
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.15 xG 1.11
62% Ball Possession 38%
9 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
379 Passes 211
82% Pass Accuracy 72%
15 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 America de Cali America de Cali 4-1 HT 2-0 Junior Junior KOL
24.08.2023 Junior Junior 4-3 HT 1-3 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
24.03.2023 America de Cali America de Cali 2-0 HT 0-0 Junior Junior KOL
21.08.2022 America de Cali America de Cali 2-1 HT 2-1 Junior Junior KOL
21.02.2022 Junior Junior 1-0 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
31.01.2021 Junior Junior 2-1 HT 0-0 America de Cali America de Cali KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Junior
3-1
AWAY America de Cali
0.37 xG 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
5 Total Shots 20
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 7
211 Passes 267
76% Pass Accuracy 80%
14 Box Touches 26
10 Crosses 13
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Junior vs America de Cali
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Junior beat America de Cali 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 33% — and on the day Junior made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Junior had 46% of the ball to America de Cali's 54%, shots finished 5-20, expected goals 0.37 to 1.33 — the balance of chances actually favoured America de Cali.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Junior and 2.00 for America de Cali.

What was the final score of Junior vs America de Cali?

Junior 3-1 America de Cali in the Colombia - Primera on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Junior vs America de Cali?

Before kick-off our model rated a Junior win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Junior 40%, draw 27%, America de Cali 33%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Junior) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Junior) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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