Deportivo Cali 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 28 Oct 2024

📅28/10/2024 · 🕒00:10 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.12
Draw
31%
2.94
Away
34%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
67%
1.51
Over 2.5
33%
2.43
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.09
No
61%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
40%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
16%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
10%
1/X
10%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
43%
-8.4pp
31%
Draw
30%
+0.3pp
34%
Away Win
26%
+8.1pp
67%
Under 2.5
62%
+4.2pp
33%
Over 2.5
38%
-4.2pp
39%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.7pp
61%
BTTS No
56%
+4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Cali EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +16%
1.21/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.91/1.23
-9% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
268 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
18.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.9
17.7 Crosses 13.9
2.8 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Cali
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.19 xG 0.90
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
308 Passes 300
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.04.2024 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 2-1 HT 1-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
29.08.2023 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
12.03.2023 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
12.09.2022 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-1 HT 1-1 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
17.03.2022 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali KOL
01.08.2021 Deportivo Cali Deportivo Cali 1-2 HT 1-2 Atletico Bucaramanga Atletico Bucaramanga KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Cali
1-0
AWAY Atletico Bucaramanga
0.83 xG 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
309 Passes 239
84% Pass Accuracy 75%
12 Box Touches 23
12 Crosses 13
6 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Cali squeezed past Atletico Bucaramanga 1-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 31% / 34% — and on the day Deportivo Cali made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (67%), no to both teams scoring (61%) came in.

On the day, Deportivo Cali had 53% of the ball to Atletico Bucaramanga's 47%, shots finished 10-11, expected goals 0.83 to 0.50.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Atletico Bucaramanga led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Deportivo Cali and 1.33 for Atletico Bucaramanga.

What was the final score of Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Deportivo Cali 1-0 Atletico Bucaramanga in the Colombia - Primera on 28/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Cali vs Atletico Bucaramanga?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Cali win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Cali 35%, draw 31%, Atletico Bucaramanga 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Cali), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Cali) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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