Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Boyaca Chico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Feb 2025

📅13/02/2025 · 🕒00:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.76
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
64%
Over 2.5
36%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
2.4
No
61%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
53%
-4.6pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.1pp
23%
Away Win
19%
+3.5pp
39%
BTTS Yes
38%
+1.5pp
61%
BTTS No
62%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Deportivo Pasto EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Boyaca Chico EU Bookmakers 22%
+6% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -13%
1.27/0.65 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.79/1.11
+7% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / -16%
57% Ball Possession 43%
12 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
330 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 74%
18.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 12.2
21.2 Crosses 15.0
2.4 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Deportivo Pasto
2W-4D-0L
AWAY Boyaca Chico
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.00 xG 1.02
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 Passes 224
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
12 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.03.2024 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
21.08.2023 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 1-1 HT 0-0 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
28.02.2023 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
05.04.2021 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 0-0 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
03.10.2020 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto 2-1 HT 1-1 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico KOL
27.10.2018 Boyaca Chico Boyaca Chico 1-1 HT 0-0 Deportivo Pasto Deportivo Pasto KOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Deportivo Pasto
3-0
AWAY Boyaca Chico
0.96 xG 0.13
52% Ball Possession 48%
6 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 3
340 Passes 323
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
12 Box Touches 5
13 Crosses 20
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Deportivo Pasto ran out comfortable winners over Boyaca Chico 3-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Deportivo Pasto as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (61%) landed while under 2.5 goals (64%) missed.

On the day, Deportivo Pasto had 52% of the ball to Boyaca Chico's 48%, shots finished 6-6, expected goals 0.96 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Deportivo Pasto had the better of it with 2 wins, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Deportivo Pasto and 0.83 for Boyaca Chico.

What was the final score of Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico?

Deportivo Pasto 3-0 Boyaca Chico in the Colombia - Primera on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Deportivo Pasto win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Deportivo Pasto 48%, draw 29%, Boyaca Chico 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Deportivo Pasto), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Deportivo Pasto) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
13 Feb 2025
02:30 Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena Analysis →
04:30 Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →