Independiente Medellin 1-1 Union Magdalena — Maç Sonucu, İstatistikler ve Maç Analizi — Colombia - Primera, 13 Feb 2025

Independiente Medellin WWDWW→
1 - 1 HT 0 - 1
Union Magdalena LLLLD→
📅13/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
HomeVIEW
71%
1.43
Draw
20%
3.95
Away
9%
6.93
Under/Over 2.5
Under
58%
1.66
Over
42%
2.11
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.6
No
62%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1
32%
2-3
46%
4-5
18%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
43%
1/2
0%
1/X
4%
X/1
24%
X/2
4%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
NO PICK no pattern fills on this match today.
VIEW our model view: the outcome it rates most likely. A forecast, not a pick.

Independiente Medellin v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Independiente Medellin The Market 70%
Signal
AWAY Union Magdalena The Market 14%
Strong Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Average
1.78 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 0.65
0.53 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.96
Average Attack Strength Weak
Great Defense Strength Weak
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
306 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 77%
20 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 4

Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.46 xG 0.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
384 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-4 HT 0-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
11.10.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
18.04.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
04.08.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
10.02.2019 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Independiente Medellin 1-1 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
1 - 1
AWAY Union Magdalena
2.71 xG 0.13
72% Ball Possession 28%
28 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
480 Passes 141
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
37 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Independiente Medellin and Union Magdalena finished all square at 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our model won't enjoy this one — Independiente Medellin at 71% was the clear read, and the result ignored it. Over a season these leads pay; on a single Tuesday, anything can happen. The goals card split: under 2.5 goals (58%) came in, no to both teams scoring (62%) didn't.

By the numbers, Independiente Medellin had 72% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 28%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 2.71 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.40 for Union Magdalena.

Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena Result & Final Score

Independiente Medellin 1 - 1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 71%, draw 20%, Union Magdalena 9%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
KOL More Colombia - Primera
13 Feb 2025
00:30 Deportivo Pasto vs Boyaca Chico Analysis →
04:30 Santa Fe vs Atletico Nacional Analysis →