Independiente Medellin 1-1 Union Magdalena — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Colombia - Primera, 13 Feb 2025

Independiente Medellin
1-1 HT 0-1
Union Magdalena
📅13/02/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Colombia - Primera – 2025

Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.43
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
16%
6.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.62
Over 2.5
41%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
37%
2.6
No
63%
1.43
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
57%
Home Win
66%
-8.4pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.3pp
16%
Away Win
12%
+4.1pp
59%
Under 2.5
58%
+0.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
42%
-0.6pp
37%
BTTS Yes
34%
+2.3pp
63%
BTTS No
66%
-2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Independiente Medellin v Union Magdalena — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Independiente Medellin EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Magdalena EU Bookmakers 15%
+8% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +0%
1.43/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.50
-4% / +42% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 4
305 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 77%
19.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.2
16.2 Crosses 11.8
2.4 Yellow Cards 3.6

Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena Head-to-Head — Last 5 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Independiente Medellin
2W-3D-0L
AWAY Union Magdalena
1.60 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.46 xG 0.65
59% Ball Possession 41%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 3
384 Passes 249
83% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 10
17 Crosses 9
3 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
09.11.2023 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-4 HT 0-2 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
11.10.2022 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 0-2 HT 0-0 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
18.04.2022 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 0-0 HT 0-0 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL
04.08.2019 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena 1-1 HT 1-1 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin KOL
10.02.2019 Independiente Medellin Independiente Medellin 1-1 HT 1-1 Union Magdalena Union Magdalena KOL

Independiente Medellin 1-1 Union Magdalena — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Independiente Medellin
1-1
AWAY Union Magdalena
2.71 xG 0.13
72% Ball Possession 28%
28 Total Shots 6
10 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
480 Passes 141
84% Pass Accuracy 62%
37 Box Touches 4
21 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Independiente Medellin and Union Magdalena shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

This one beat our numbers. Independiente Medellin carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (63%) missed.

On the day, Independiente Medellin had 72% of the ball to Union Magdalena's 28%, shots finished 28-6, expected goals 2.71 to 0.13.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Independiente Medellin had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.60 goals for Independiente Medellin and 0.40 for Union Magdalena.

What was the final score of Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena?

Independiente Medellin 1-1 Union Magdalena in the Colombia - Primera on 13/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Independiente Medellin vs Union Magdalena?

Before kick-off our model rated a Independiente Medellin win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Independiente Medellin 57%, draw 27%, Union Magdalena 16%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Independiente Medellin), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Independiente Medellin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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