Leixoes U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.12
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
33%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.15
Over 2.5
63%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
64%
1.56
No
36%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
8%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
43%
+0.0pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
33%
Away Win
32%
+1.2pp
37%
Under 2.5
43%
-5.5pp
63%
Over 2.5
57%
+5.5pp
64%
BTTS Yes
60%
+4.4pp
36%
BTTS No
40%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Leixoes U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gil Vicente U23 EU Bookmakers 36%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +14% / +14%
3.50/0.50 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/1.37
+93% / +141% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +15%
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
254 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Leixoes U23
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
17 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 3
23.09.2025 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 1-1 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
22.10.2024 Gil Vicente U23 Gil Vicente U23 3-0 Leixoes U23 Leixoes U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Leixoes U23
1-1
AWAY Gil Vicente U23
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Leixoes U23 vs Gil Vicente U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Leixoes U23 and Gil Vicente U23 couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Leixoes U23 at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, both teams to score (64%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Leixoes U23 had 56% of the ball to Gil Vicente U23's 44%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Gil Vicente U23 led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Leixoes U23 and 2.00 for Gil Vicente U23.

What was the final score of Leixoes U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Leixoes U23 1-1 Gil Vicente U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Leixoes U23 vs Gil Vicente U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Leixoes U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Leixoes U23 43%, draw 24%, Gil Vicente U23 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Leixoes U23), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Leixoes U23) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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