Rio Ave U23 2-1 Maritimo U23 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - U23 National Championship, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.12
Draw
22%
3.45
Away
32%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.86
Over 2.5
49%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.73
No
52%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
19%
X/2
7%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
43%
+2.8pp
21%
Draw
26%
-4.2pp
32%
Away Win
31%
+1.4pp
51%
Under 2.5
50%
+0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
50%
-0.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
54%
-5.7pp
52%
BTTS No
46%
+5.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rio Ave U23 EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Maritimo U23 EU Bookmakers 34%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
1.89/2.05 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.51/2.98
-2% / -46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -64% / -51%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 0.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rio Ave U23
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Maritimo U23
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
44% Ball Possession 56%
17 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
1 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 5
23.09.2025 Maritimo U23 Maritimo U23 0-1 Rio Ave U23 Rio Ave U23 UŞGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rio Ave U23
2-1
AWAY Maritimo U23
68% Ball Possession 32%
18 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Rio Ave U23 vs Maritimo U23
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rio Ave U23 edged past Maritimo U23 2-1.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rio Ave U23 as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Rio Ave U23 had 68% of the ball to Maritimo U23's 32%, shots finished 18-11.

What was the final score of Rio Ave U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Rio Ave U23 2-1 Maritimo U23 in the Portugal - U23 National Championship on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rio Ave U23 vs Maritimo U23?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rio Ave U23 win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Rio Ave U23 46%, draw 21%, Maritimo U23 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rio Ave U23) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Rio Ave U23) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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UŞGA More Portugal - U23 National Championship
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