Atalanta U19 1-3 Chelsea U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
14%
3.94
Away
63%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.98
Over 2.5
63%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.38
No
43%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
7.23
2-3 Goals
35%
2.22
4-5 Goals
30%
2.36
6+ Goals
13%
4.22
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
7%
X/2
20%
X/X
3%
2/1
7%
2/2
35%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.4pp
14%
Draw
22%
-7.7pp
62%
Away Win
54%
+8.1pp
37%
Under 2.5
30%
+7.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
70%
-7.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
68%
-11.1pp
43%
BTTS No
32%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Atalanta U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Chelsea U19 EU Bookmakers 58%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -28% / -28%
1.13/3.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.39/0.90
-18% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +34% / -41%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
339 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 33.6
12.0 Crosses 29.9
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Atalanta U19
1-3
AWAY Chelsea U19
2.23 xG 1.80
31% Ball Possession 69%
18 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 4
248 Passes 599
87% Pass Accuracy 94%
14 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Atalanta U19 vs Chelsea U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelsea U19 got the better of Atalanta U19 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chelsea U19 as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (63%), both teams to score (57%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Atalanta U19 had 31% of the ball to Chelsea U19's 69%, shots finished 18-17, expected goals 2.23 to 1.80 — on chances, Atalanta U19 could feel hard done by.

What was the final score of Atalanta U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Atalanta U19 1-3 Chelsea U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Atalanta U19 vs Chelsea U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chelsea U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Atalanta U19 23%, draw 14%, Chelsea U19 62%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelsea U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Chelsea U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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