PSV U19 3-1 Atletico Madrid U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.53
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.51
Over 2.5
49%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.43
No
48%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
5.19
2-3 Goals
40%
1.97
4-5 Goals
24%
2.59
6+ Goals
9%
6.17
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.19 — our 27% vs market 14.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
19%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
36%
+4.4pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.1pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-4.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
36%
+14.5pp
49%
Over 2.5
64%
-14.5pp
52%
BTTS Yes
66%
-14.1pp
48%
BTTS No
34%
+14.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV U19 EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19 EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -31% / +18%
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
390 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 361 · 83%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.1
Crosses 12.8
Yellow Cards 2.5
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV U19
3-1
AWAY Atletico Madrid U19
55% Ball Possession 45%
20 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 8
8 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH PSV U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV U19 beat Atletico Madrid U19 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (40% / 23% / 36%) promised a tight game; PSV U19 found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, PSV U19 had 55% of the ball to Atletico Madrid U19's 45%, shots finished 20-15.

What was the final score of PSV U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

PSV U19 3-1 Atletico Madrid U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV U19 vs Atletico Madrid U19?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split PSV U19 40%, draw 23%, Atletico Madrid U19 36%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (PSV U19), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (PSV U19) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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