Union Saint-Gilloise U19 1-4 Marsilya U19 — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UEFA - Youth League, 9 Dec 2025

📅09/12/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.75
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
54%
1.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
39%
2.38
Over 2.5
61%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.55
No
41%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.76
2-3 Goals
39%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.68
6+ Goals
12%
6.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
20%
X/X
7%
2/1
4%
2/2
26%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
23%
+1.1pp
22%
Draw
22%
+0.2pp
53%
Away Win
55%
-1.3pp
39%
Under 2.5
38%
+1.2pp
61%
Over 2.5
62%
-1.2pp
59%
BTTS Yes
60%
-1.6pp
41%
BTTS No
40%
+1.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise U19 EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Marsilya U19 EU Bookmakers 59%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 5
276 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Union Saint-Gilloise U19
1-4
AWAY Marsilya U19
0.53 xG 3.85
45% Ball Possession 55%
7 Total Shots 17
2 Shots on Target 10
10 Corners 8
214 Passes 306
70% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Marsilya U19
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsilya U19 cruised past Union Saint-Gilloise U19 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Marsilya U19 as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (61%), both teams to score (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Union Saint-Gilloise U19 had 45% of the ball to Marsilya U19's 55%, shots finished 7-17, expected goals 0.53 to 3.85.

What was the final score of Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Union Saint-Gilloise U19 1-4 Marsilya U19 in the UEFA - Youth League on 09/12/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Union Saint-Gilloise U19 vs Marsilya U19?

Before kick-off our model rated an Marsilya U19 win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Union Saint-Gilloise U19 24%, draw 22%, Marsilya U19 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Marsilya U19), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Marsilya U19) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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