Hamilton 1-2 Partick Thistle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Scotland - Championship, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.8
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
37%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.03
Over 2.5
47%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.61
No
53%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.62
2-3 Goals
38%
1.77
4-5 Goals
22%
3.05
6+ Goals
10%
10.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.62 — our 30% vs market 21.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
4.39
1/2
6%
24.7
1/X
7%
13.4
X/1 EV+ ✗
16%
6.48
X/2
12%
5.02
X/X
13%
5.1
2/1
5%
31.0
2/2
19%
3.07
2/X
6%
13.25
Value flag · X/1 at 6.48 — our 16% vs market 11.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.3pp
25%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
37%
Away Win
42%
-5.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
45%
+7.4pp
47%
Over 2.5
55%
-7.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
58%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS No
42%
+11.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hamilton EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Partick Thistle EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -6%
0.91/3.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.31/1.26
-24% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -16%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
267 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 66%
23.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.6
9.2 Crosses 14.8
1.2 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hamilton
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Partick Thistle
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 8
1 Crosses 12
1 Yellow Cards 4
16.11.2024 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 5-1 HT 2-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
28.09.2024 Hamilton Hamilton 1-0 HT 0-0 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
22.04.2023 Hamilton Hamilton 2-2 HT 1-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
28.01.2023 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 0-1 HT 0-0 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
15.10.2022 Hamilton Hamilton 1-2 HT 0-1 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle İKCL
06.08.2022 Partick Thistle Partick Thistle 1-1 HT 0-1 Hamilton Hamilton İKCL
POST-MATCH Hamilton vs Partick Thistle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Partick Thistle edged past Hamilton 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 25% / 37% — and on the day Partick Thistle made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Hamilton and 1.67 for Partick Thistle.

What was the final score of Hamilton vs Partick Thistle?

Hamilton 1-2 Partick Thistle in the Scotland - Championship on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hamilton vs Partick Thistle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hamilton win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hamilton 37%, draw 25%, Partick Thistle 37%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/25/37) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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