Perugia vs Athletic Carpi Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Perugia v Athletic Carpi — Team-Based Signals
Perugia vs Athletic Carpi Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
Perugia 1-0 Athletic Carpi — Actual Match Statistics
Perugia nicked a narrow win over Athletic Carpi 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Perugia as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.
On the day, Perugia had 50% of the ball to Athletic Carpi's 50%, shots finished 11-11.
What was the final score of Perugia vs Athletic Carpi?
Perugia 1-0 Athletic Carpi in the Italy - Serie C on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Perugia vs Athletic Carpi?
Before kick-off our model rated a Perugia win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Perugia 45%, draw 29%, Athletic Carpi 27%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Perugia), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.