Al Ain 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒18:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
2.25
Draw
22%
3.64
Away
32%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
38%
2.74
Over 2.5
62%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
60%
1.38
No
40%
2.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
6.1
2-3 Goals
36%
2.05
4-5 Goals
27%
2.41
6+ Goals
16%
4.98
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
8%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
40%
+5.4pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.3pp
32%
Away Win
36%
-3.1pp
38%
Under 2.5
33%
+5.7pp
62%
Over 2.5
67%
-5.7pp
60%
BTTS Yes
68%
-8.8pp
40%
BTTS No
32%
+8.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ain EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai EU Bookmakers 39%
-12% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +8%
1.27/1.07 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.36
-21% / +16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
340 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 343 · 82%
22.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.3
20.4 Crosses 14.2
1.8 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ain
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.57 xG 1.17
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
346 Passes 250
81% Pass Accuracy 74%
26 Box Touches 20
18 Crosses 15
2 Yellow Cards 2
27.04.2024 Al Ain Al Ain 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
26.11.2023 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 0-3 HT 0-2 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
01.04.2023 Al Ain Al Ain 1-1 HT 0-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
29.10.2022 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 2-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
30.04.2022 Al Ain Al Ain 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai BAE
29.10.2021 Al Ahli FC Dubai Al Ahli FC Dubai 1-1 HT 1-1 Al Ain Al Ain BAE
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ain
0-1
AWAY Al Ahli FC Dubai
1.94 xG 1.04
56% Ball Possession 44%
19 Total Shots 10
9 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 3
273 Passes 202
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
41 Box Touches 16
29 Crosses 5
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Al Ain vs Al Ahli FC Dubai
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli FC Dubai squeezed past Al Ain 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Ain at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (62%), both teams to score (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Al Ain had 56% of the ball to Al Ahli FC Dubai's 44%, shots finished 19-10, expected goals 1.94 to 1.04 — the balance of chances actually favoured Al Ain.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Ain and 1.00 for Al Ahli FC Dubai.

What was the final score of Al Ain vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Al Ain 0-1 Al Ahli FC Dubai in the UAE - League on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ain vs Al Ahli FC Dubai?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ain win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Al Ain 46%, draw 22%, Al Ahli FC Dubai 32%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Ain) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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