Al Nasr 3-2 Al Ittihad Kalba — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - League, 10 Jan 2025

Al Nasr
3-2 HT 0-1
Al Ittihad Kalba
📅10/01/2025 · 🕒16:05 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 ✗ 2nd Score 3-1 ✗
UAE - League – 2025/2026

Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.64
Away
24%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.43
Over 2.5
54%
1.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.46
No
47%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.01
2-3 Goals
37%
1.92
4-5 Goals
28%
2.58
6+ Goals
12%
6.31
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
49%
-1.1pp
28%
Draw
24%
+3.6pp
24%
Away Win
27%
-2.6pp
46%
Under 2.5
38%
+8.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
62%
-8.8pp
53%
BTTS Yes
64%
-11.1pp
47%
BTTS No
36%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Al Nasr v Al Ittihad Kalba — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Nasr EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba EU Bookmakers 30%
-3% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -16% / -15%
1.70/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.19/1.98
-3% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -25%
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
359 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 79%
24.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.6
20.3 Crosses 13.4
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.7

Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Nasr
1W-4D-1L
AWAY Al Ittihad Kalba
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.52 xG 1.10
52% Ball Possession 48%
15 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
321 Passes 288
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 20
19 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.04.2024 Al Nasr Al Nasr 2-2 HT 1-2 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
26.11.2023 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
02.04.2023 Al Nasr Al Nasr 3-0 HT 0-0 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAE
29.10.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 5-3 HT 1-3 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
22.04.2022 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Nasr Al Nasr BAE
29.01.2022 Al Nasr Al Nasr 1-1 HT 0-1 Al Ittihad Kalba Al Ittihad Kalba BAELK
POST-MATCH Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasr nicked a narrow win over Al Ittihad Kalba 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Al Nasr as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 4 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Nasr and 1.67 for Al Ittihad Kalba.

What was the final score of Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Al Nasr 3-2 Al Ittihad Kalba in the UAE - League on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Nasr vs Al Ittihad Kalba?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Nasr win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Al Nasr 48%, draw 28%, Al Ittihad Kalba 24%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Nasr), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Al Nasr) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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