Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 10 Jan 2025

📅10/01/2025 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
35%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.68
Over 2.5
49%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.88
No
47%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.77
2-3 Goals
39%
1.79
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
24%
4.32
6+ Goals
10%
21.55
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 4.32 — our 24% vs market 18.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
3.16
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
5%
14.55
X/1
18%
4.57
X/2
13%
6.28
X/X
12%
4.36
2/1
6%
28.5
2/2
16%
4.9
2/X EV+ ✗
10%
14.85
Value flag · 2/X at 14.85 — our 10% vs market 4.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-5.7pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.2pp
35%
Away Win
30%
+5.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
56%
-4.4pp
49%
Over 2.5
44%
+4.4pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.0pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 33%
-50% / -50% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
0.08/1.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.21/1.51
-95% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / +0%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 180 · 63%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 28.3
Crosses 29.8
Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Portsmouth
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.18 xG 1.22
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
169 Passes 295
59% Pass Accuracy 69%
22 Box Touches 27
18 Crosses 23
2 Yellow Cards 2
29.03.2024 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 HT 1-2 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
03.10.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
07.05.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-2 HT 1-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
04.12.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
19.03.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
13.11.2021 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
2-0
AWAY Portsmouth
30% Ball Possession 70%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
1 Corners 3
0 Passes 0
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wycombe Wanderers saw off Portsmouth 2-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 35% — and on the day Wycombe Wanderers made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 30% of the ball to Portsmouth's 70%, shots finished 9-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.33 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 Portsmouth in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wycombe Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 38%, draw 27%, Portsmouth 35%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wycombe Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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