Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 Portsmouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 1st Division, 29 Mar 2024

📅29/03/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
29%
3.35
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.81
No
53%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
3.01
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
3.88
6+ Goals
9%
17.25
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.01 — our 32% vs market 27.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.05
1/2
11%
26.5
1/X
7%
14.05
X/1
14%
6.69
X/2
16%
4.54
X/X
15%
4.47
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
13%
2.93
2/X
7%
13.7
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.7pp
29%
Draw
27%
+2.2pp
39%
Away Win
44%
-4.9pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.4pp
47%
BTTS Yes
51%
-4.0pp
53%
BTTS No
49%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wycombe Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Portsmouth EU Bookmakers 48%
+3% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.23/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/0.97
+36% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / +29%
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
221 · 62% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 304 · 69%
25.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.0
17.5 Crosses 19.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Portsmouth
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.22 xG 1.24
43% Ball Possession 57%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 7
172 Passes 280
59% Pass Accuracy 68%
23 Box Touches 26
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.10.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-1 HT 0-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
07.05.2023 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-2 HT 1-1 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
04.12.2022 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 2-0 HT 1-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
19.03.2022 Portsmouth Portsmouth 0-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
13.11.2021 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Portsmouth Portsmouth İN1
26.12.2019 Portsmouth Portsmouth 2-0 HT 0-0 Wycombe Wanderers Wycombe Wanderers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wycombe Wanderers
1-3
AWAY Portsmouth
0.58 xG 1.75
39% Ball Possession 61%
9 Total Shots 16
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 3
154 Passes 330
56% Pass Accuracy 72%
9 Box Touches 29
16 Crosses 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wycombe Wanderers vs Portsmouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Portsmouth saw off Wycombe Wanderers 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 39% — and on the day Portsmouth made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Wycombe Wanderers had 39% of the ball to Portsmouth's 61%, shots finished 9-16, expected goals 0.58 to 1.75.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Portsmouth led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Wycombe Wanderers and 1.17 for Portsmouth.

What was the final score of Wycombe Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

Wycombe Wanderers 1-3 Portsmouth in the England - 1st Division on 29/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wycombe Wanderers vs Portsmouth?

Before kick-off our model rated an Portsmouth win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Wycombe Wanderers 32%, draw 29%, Portsmouth 39%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Portsmouth) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Portsmouth) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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