Aston Villa vs West Ham United Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aston Villa v West Ham United — Team-Based Signals
Aston Villa vs West Ham United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
West Ham United
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
2-1
HT 0-0
Aston Villa
İNP
Aston Villa 2-1 West Ham United — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa nicked a narrow win over West Ham United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Aston Villa as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Aston Villa had 59% of the ball to West Ham United's 41%, shots finished 16-11, expected goals 2.04 to 0.77 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Aston Villa's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Aston Villa and 1.17 for West Ham United.
What was the final score of Aston Villa vs West Ham United?
Aston Villa 2-1 West Ham United in the England - FA Cup on 10/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aston Villa vs West Ham United?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aston Villa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Aston Villa 42%, draw 26%, West Ham United 32%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aston Villa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.