West Ham United vs Aston Villa Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
West Ham United v Aston Villa — Team-Based Signals
West Ham United vs Aston Villa Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-0
West Ham United
İNP
1-1
HT 1-1
Aston Villa
İNP
0-1
HT 0-0
West Ham United
İNP
2-1
HT 0-0
Aston Villa
İNP
1-4
HT 1-2
West Ham United
İNP
West Ham United 1-2 Aston Villa — Actual Match Statistics
Aston Villa edged past West Ham United 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was West Ham United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (58%), both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, West Ham United had 52% of the ball to Aston Villa's 48%, shots finished 14-15, expected goals 2.46 to 2.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured West Ham United.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, West Ham United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for West Ham United and 1.33 for Aston Villa.
What was the final score of West Ham United vs Aston Villa?
West Ham United 1-2 Aston Villa in the England - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for West Ham United vs Aston Villa?
Before kick-off our model rated a West Ham United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split West Ham United 43%, draw 25%, Aston Villa 32%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (West Ham United) went the other way.