Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Premier League, 17 Aug 2024

📅17/08/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.9
Over 2.5
51%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.7
No
46%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.38
2-3 Goals
40%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.51
6+ Goals
11%
13.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.06
1/2
9%
33.0
1/X
9%
12.8
X/1
16%
4.9
X/2
10%
6.55
X/X
9%
4.58
2/1
8%
26.0
2/2
13%
4.61
2/X
9%
13.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
43%
-2.1pp
27%
Draw
27%
-0.1pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.3pp
49%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.9pp
46%
BTTS No
45%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Nottingham Forest EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Bournemouth EU Bookmakers 33%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +17% / +24%
1.64/1.09 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.33
+28% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +29% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
349 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
27.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.4
20.1 Crosses 20.0
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Nottingham Forest
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Bournemouth
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.18 xG 1.01
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
298 Passes 310
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.02.2024 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-1 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
23.12.2023 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 0-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
21.01.2023 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-1 HT 1-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNP
03.09.2022 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 2-3 HT 2-0 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNP
03.05.2022 Bournemouth Bournemouth 1-0 HT 0-0 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest İNCL
14.08.2021 Nottingham Forest Nottingham Forest 1-2 HT 0-1 Bournemouth Bournemouth İNCL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Nottingham Forest
1-1
AWAY Bournemouth
1.30 xG 1.22
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 13
8 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
402 Passes 335
80% Pass Accuracy 78%
29 Box Touches 23
13 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nottingham Forest and Bournemouth shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Nottingham Forest at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Nottingham Forest had 53% of the ball to Bournemouth's 47%, shots finished 14-13, expected goals 1.30 to 1.22.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bournemouth led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Nottingham Forest and 1.83 for Bournemouth.

What was the final score of Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?

Nottingham Forest 1-1 Bournemouth in the England - Premier League on 17/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Nottingham Forest vs Bournemouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Nottingham Forest win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Nottingham Forest 41%, draw 27%, Bournemouth 32%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Nottingham Forest), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nottingham Forest) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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