Salisbury vs Worthing Prediction — Model Probabilities
Salisbury v Worthing — Team-Based Signals
Salisbury vs Worthing Head-to-Head — Last 3 Meetings
Salisbury 5-4 Worthing — Actual Match Statistics
Salisbury found just enough to beat Worthing 5-4. Level at 2-2 at half-time, the winner was decided in the second half. With 9 goals, entertainment was never the problem.
File this under upsets: a 59% lean on Worthing went begging. That's football — and exactly why we publish probabilities, not promises. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (59%) came in.
The match data tells the story: Worthing saw more of the ball, 55% to 45%, shots finished 13-16.
Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Worthing led the recent series with 3 wins. Scoring in those meetings ran 0.67 a game for Salisbury against 2.33 for Worthing.
Salisbury vs Worthing Result & Final Score
Salisbury 5 - 4 Worthing in the England - Conference on 10/01/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Salisbury vs Worthing Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated an Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Salisbury 19%, draw 22%, Worthing 59%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Worthing) went the other way.