Worthing 3-2 Salisbury — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.97
Over 2.5
45%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.76
No
51%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.44
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.15
6+ Goals
8%
11.05
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.44 — our 30% vs market 22.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
57%
-6.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.9pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+2.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
47%
+8.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
53%
-8.6pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.9pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Worthing EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Salisbury EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
1.70/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.51
-4% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +7%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
406 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 315 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Worthing
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Salisbury
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
03.12.2024 Salisbury Salisbury 0-2 HT 0-1 Worthing Worthing İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Worthing
3-2
AWAY Salisbury
70% Ball Possession 30%
23 Total Shots 8
9 Shots on Target 5
9 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Worthing vs Salisbury
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Worthing nicked a narrow win over Salisbury 3-2. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Worthing as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Worthing had 70% of the ball to Salisbury's 30%, shots finished 23-8.

What was the final score of Worthing vs Salisbury?

Worthing 3-2 Salisbury in the England - Conference on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Worthing vs Salisbury?

Before kick-off our model rated a Worthing win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Worthing 50%, draw 27%, Salisbury 23%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Worthing) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Worthing) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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