St. Albans City 1-3 Boreham Wood — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
3.87
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
49%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.91
Over 2.5
45%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
1.81
No
56%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.27
6+ Goals
9%
12.15
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.26 — our 31% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
32%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
22%
+3.6pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.7pp
49%
Away Win
53%
-4.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
48%
+6.6pp
45%
Over 2.5
52%
-6.6pp
44%
BTTS Yes
51%
-7.7pp
56%
BTTS No
49%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME St. Albans City EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Boreham Wood EU Bookmakers 57%
+7% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -11%
1.12/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.34
-5% / +24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -27%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
292 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME St. Albans City
0W-0D-4L
AWAY Boreham Wood
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
0.80 xG 1.51
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
277 Passes 127
68% Pass Accuracy 49%
23 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 0
10.12.2024 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 3-0 HT 0-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
06.12.2021 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 4-0 HT 1-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City FAK
14.10.2017 St. Albans City St. Albans City 1-3 HT 0-2 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood FAK
06.10.2014 Boreham Wood Boreham Wood 2-1 HT 1-0 St. Albans City St. Albans City İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME St. Albans City
1-3
AWAY Boreham Wood
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
POST-MATCH St. Albans City vs Boreham Wood
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Boreham Wood got the better of St. Albans City 3-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Boreham Wood as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, St. Albans City had 54% of the ball to Boreham Wood's 46%, shots finished 8-7.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Boreham Wood led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for St. Albans City and 3.00 for Boreham Wood.

What was the final score of St. Albans City vs Boreham Wood?

St. Albans City 1-3 Boreham Wood in the England - Conference on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for St. Albans City vs Boreham Wood?

Before kick-off our model rated an Boreham Wood win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split St. Albans City 26%, draw 25%, Boreham Wood 49%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Boreham Wood) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Boreham Wood) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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