AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Chesham United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.19
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
36%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.68
Over 2.5
44%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.61
2-3 Goals
44%
1.71
4-5 Goals
20%
4.01
6+ Goals
7%
19.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
15%
2/1
4%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
42%
-4.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+5.3pp
56%
Under 2.5
56%
+0.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
44%
-0.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-2.4pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+2.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AFC Hornchurch EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Chesham United EU Bookmakers 34%
-2% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -3%
0.82/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.18/1.35
-42% / +48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +3%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
359 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 265 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AFC Hornchurch
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chesham United
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 7
03.12.2024 Chesham United Chesham United 1-3 HT 1-1 AFC Hornchurch AFC Hornchurch İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AFC Hornchurch
2-1
AWAY Chesham United
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH AFC Hornchurch vs Chesham United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AFC Hornchurch edged past Chesham United 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 38% / 27% / 36% — and on the day AFC Hornchurch made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AFC Hornchurch had 54% of the ball to Chesham United's 46%, shots finished 16-4.

What was the final score of AFC Hornchurch vs Chesham United?

AFC Hornchurch 2-1 Chesham United in the England - Conference on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AFC Hornchurch vs Chesham United?

Before kick-off our model rated a AFC Hornchurch win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split AFC Hornchurch 38%, draw 27%, Chesham United 36%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AFC Hornchurch) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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