Chelmsford City 3-2 Torquay United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.57
Draw
33%
3.18
Away
33%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.76
No
44%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2.8
2-3 Goals
44%
1.72
4-5 Goals
19%
3.73
6+ Goals
9%
16.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
11%
1/X
11%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
35%
-1.3pp
33%
Draw
28%
+4.8pp
33%
Away Win
37%
-3.5pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.1pp
56%
BTTS Yes
53%
+2.8pp
44%
BTTS No
47%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chelmsford City EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Torquay United EU Bookmakers 40%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.19/1.16 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.46
-11% / +14% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
271 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chelmsford City
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Torquay United
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
02.11.2024 Torquay United Torquay United 2-2 HT 2-1 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
23.12.2023 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Torquay United Torquay United İCON
09.09.2023 Torquay United Torquay United 2-1 HT 0-0 Chelmsford City Chelmsford City İCON
POST-MATCH Chelmsford City vs Torquay United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chelmsford City nicked a narrow win over Torquay United 3-2. It was 0-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (34% / 33% / 33%) promised a tight game; Chelmsford City found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (56%), and that read landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Chelmsford City and 1.33 for Torquay United.

What was the final score of Chelmsford City vs Torquay United?

Chelmsford City 3-2 Torquay United in the England - Conference on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chelmsford City vs Torquay United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chelmsford City win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Chelmsford City 34%, draw 33%, Torquay United 33%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chelmsford City), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chelmsford City) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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