Chippenham Town 1-1 Welling United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 22 Feb 2025

📅22/02/2025 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.0
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.82
Over 2.5
52%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.04
2-3 Goals
36%
1.73
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
12%
13.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
17%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
46%
-0.8pp
24%
Draw
26%
-1.5pp
31%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
48%
Under 2.5
51%
-3.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
49%
+3.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.5pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Welling United EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / -12%
1.49/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.57
-1% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
11 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
348 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Welling United
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
02.11.2024 Welling United Welling United 0-4 HT 0-3 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
23.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 4-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
28.10.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
25.02.2023 Welling United Welling United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
12.02.2022 Welling United Welling United 1-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chippenham Town
1-1
AWAY Welling United
61% Ball Possession 39%
7 Total Shots 2
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Welling United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town and Welling United shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Chippenham Town at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Chippenham Town had 61% of the ball to Welling United's 39%, shots finished 7-2.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chippenham Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Chippenham Town and 0.83 for Welling United.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Welling United?

Chippenham Town 1-1 Welling United in the England - Conference on 22/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Welling United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chippenham Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 45%, draw 24%, Welling United 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chippenham Town), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chippenham Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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