Welling United 0-4 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

Welling United
0-4 HT 0-3
Chippenham Town
📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-0 ✗
England - Conference – 2024/2025

Welling United vs Chippenham Town Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
36%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.82
No
55%
1.88
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
2.91
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
20%
4.02
6+ Goals
8%
18.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.91 — our 31% vs market 28.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
18%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
43%
-4.8pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
36%
Away Win
30%
+6.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.6pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.6pp
45%
BTTS Yes
51%
-6.4pp
55%
BTTS No
49%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Welling United v Chippenham Town — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Welling United EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 33%
-7% / -18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +15%
0.81/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/1.13
-46% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / +23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 5
330 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 78%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4

Welling United vs Chippenham Town Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Welling United
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 4-1 HT 0-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
28.10.2023 Welling United Welling United 0-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
28.03.2023 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 3-2 HT 2-1 Welling United Welling United İCON
25.02.2023 Welling United Welling United 1-1 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
12.02.2022 Welling United Welling United 1-0 HT 0-0 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
09.10.2021 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-3 HT 1-1 Welling United Welling United İCON

Welling United 0-4 Chippenham Town — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Welling United
0-4
AWAY Chippenham Town
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 7
2 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Welling United vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town swept aside Welling United 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-3.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) promised a tight game; Chippenham Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Welling United had 54% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 46%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Welling United and 1.50 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Welling United vs Chippenham Town?

Welling United 0-4 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Welling United vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Welling United win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Welling United 38%, draw 26%, Chippenham Town 36%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Welling United), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Welling United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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