Chorley 2-1 Kings Lynn Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
28%
3.45
Away
28%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.71
Over 2.5
45%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.79
2-3 Goals
41%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
4.18
6+ Goals
8%
20.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
9%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
28%
Draw
26%
+2.3pp
28%
Away Win
25%
+2.6pp
55%
Under 2.5
55%
+0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
45%
-0.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.2pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chorley EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 29%
+6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +27%
2.26/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.24
+38% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / +20%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
294 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 332 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chorley
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.25
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
09.04.2024 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
26.08.2023 Chorley Chorley 3-1 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
01.04.2023 Chorley Chorley 0-1 HT 0-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
08.10.2022 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chorley
2-1
AWAY Kings Lynn Town
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chorley vs Kings Lynn Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chorley nicked a narrow win over Kings Lynn Town 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chorley as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chorley had 52% of the ball to Kings Lynn Town's 48%, shots finished 12-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kings Lynn Town led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Chorley and 1.25 for Kings Lynn Town.

What was the final score of Chorley vs Kings Lynn Town?

Chorley 2-1 Kings Lynn Town in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chorley vs Kings Lynn Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Chorley 44%, draw 28%, Kings Lynn Town 28%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chorley) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chorley) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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