Oxford City 1-1 Southport — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.54
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.1
Over 2.5
53%
1.67
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.6
No
48%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.06
2-3 Goals
39%
1.85
4-5 Goals
23%
3.08
6+ Goals
12%
9.86
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
7%
1/X
11%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
7%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.0pp
27%
Draw
25%
+1.6pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.5pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.4pp
48%
BTTS No
42%
+6.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Oxford City EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Southport EU Bookmakers 34%
+2% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +0%
2.03/1.40 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.57
+36% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -12%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Oxford City
1-1
AWAY Southport
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Oxford City vs Southport
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Oxford City and Southport couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Oxford City at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Oxford City had 50% of the ball to Southport's 50%, shots finished 5-9.

What was the final score of Oxford City vs Southport?

Oxford City 1-1 Southport in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Oxford City vs Southport?

Before kick-off our model rated a Oxford City win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Oxford City 43%, draw 27%, Southport 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Oxford City), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Oxford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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