Needham Market 1-1 Spennymoor Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.87
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
50%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.91
Over 2.5
47%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.81
No
54%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.46
2-3 Goals
38%
1.79
4-5 Goals
21%
3.45
6+ Goals
10%
13.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.46 — our 31% vs market 23.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
13%
X/X
14%
2/1
10%
2/2
31%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
22%
+0.8pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.1pp
50%
Away Win
54%
-3.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.1pp
47%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
51%
-5.5pp
54%
BTTS No
49%
+5.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Needham Market EU Bookmakers 26%
Head to Head
AWAY Spennymoor Town EU Bookmakers 58%
-15% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.00/2.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/0.72
-16% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -8% / +46%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
302 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 401 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Needham Market
1-1
AWAY Spennymoor Town
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Needham Market vs Spennymoor Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Needham Market and Spennymoor Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Spennymoor Town at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Needham Market had 51% of the ball to Spennymoor Town's 49%, shots finished 13-18.

What was the final score of Needham Market vs Spennymoor Town?

Needham Market 1-1 Spennymoor Town in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Needham Market vs Spennymoor Town?

Before kick-off our model rated an Spennymoor Town win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Needham Market 23%, draw 26%, Spennymoor Town 50%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Spennymoor Town), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Spennymoor Town) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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