Kidderminster Harriers 2-2 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.64
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
22%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.9
No
59%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.22
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.65
6+ Goals
8%
15.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.22 — our 28% vs market 25.5%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
12%
2/2
9%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
57%
-1.7pp
23%
Draw
23%
-0.6pp
22%
Away Win
20%
+2.3pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+3.5pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-3.5pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.7pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 22%
-14% / -36% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +10%
1.53/0.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.38
-14% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / +18%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
328 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 261 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Buxton
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
53% Ball Possession 47%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
01.10.2024 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 Buxton Buxton FAK
28.09.2024 Buxton Buxton 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers FAK
07.04.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
27.09.2022 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
2-2
AWAY Buxton
70% Ball Possession 30%
12 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 1
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers and Buxton shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

This one beat our numbers. Kidderminster Harriers carried 56% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 70% of the ball to Buxton's 30%, shots finished 12-3.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.50 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Buxton?

Kidderminster Harriers 2-2 Buxton in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 56%, draw 23%, Buxton 22%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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