Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 Buxton — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.66
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
24%
4.31
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.73
No
50%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
26%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
16%
X/2
8%
X/X
12%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
56%
-6.6pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.2pp
25%
Away Win
20%
+4.4pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS Yes
54%
-3.8pp
50%
BTTS No
46%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kidderminster Harriers EU Bookmakers 60%
Head to Head
AWAY Buxton EU Bookmakers 23%
+26% / +26% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +34% / +34%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.47/0.99
-50% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +92%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
370 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Buxton
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 5
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
28.09.2024 Buxton Buxton 1-1 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers FAK
07.04.2023 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers 1-0 HT 1-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
27.09.2022 Buxton Buxton 1-1 HT 0-0 Kidderminster Harriers Kidderminster Harriers İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kidderminster Harriers
2-0
AWAY Buxton
50% Ball Possession 50%
0 Corners 0
POST-MATCH Kidderminster Harriers vs Buxton
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kidderminster Harriers got the better of Buxton 2-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kidderminster Harriers as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Kidderminster Harriers had 50% of the ball to Buxton's 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kidderminster Harriers had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kidderminster Harriers and 0.67 for Buxton.

What was the final score of Kidderminster Harriers vs Buxton?

Kidderminster Harriers 2-0 Buxton in the England - FA Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kidderminster Harriers vs Buxton?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kidderminster Harriers win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Kidderminster Harriers 50%, draw 26%, Buxton 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kidderminster Harriers) ✗ Over 2.5
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