01/10/2024
·
21:45
Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score
2-2
2nd Score
1-2
Weymouth vs Winchester City Prediction — Model Probabilities
MODEL
iddaakolik
· Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Under/Over 2.5
Both Teams to Score
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO
iddaakolik
· Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
✋
Decision
No Bet — Skip This Match
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik
Market
EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
57%
25%
Draw
22%
38%
Away Win
20%
45%
Under 2.5
42%
55%
Over 2.5
58%
54%
BTTS Yes
56%
46%
BTTS No
44%
gold — our model
green — our served pick
grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Weymouth v Winchester City — Team-Based Signals
PREVIEW
Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME
Weymouth
EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY
Winchester City
EU Bookmakers 23%
+0% /
+0%
Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations
+0% /
+0%
–/–
Expected GoalsScored / Conceded
–/–
–
/
–
Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.)
–
/
–
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Target
4
7
Corners
4
400 · 82%
PassesSuccessful · Accuracy
257 · 73%
–
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
–
–
Crosses
–
–
Yellow Cards
–
Weymouth vs Winchester City Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings
H2H
Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME
Weymouth
0W-1D-0L
AWAY
Winchester City
2.00
Avg Goals (FT)
2.00
The Meetings
POST-MATCH
Weymouth vs Winchester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened
Weymouth ran out comfortable winners over Winchester City 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.
Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 38%) promised a tight game; Weymouth found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
What was the final score of Weymouth vs Winchester City?
Weymouth 3-0 Winchester City in the England - FA Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Weymouth vs Winchester City?
Before kick-off our model rated an Winchester City win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Weymouth 37%, draw 25%, Winchester City 38%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Winchester City), BTTS Yes went the other way.
✗ Match Result (Winchester City)
✓ Over 2.5
✗ BTTS Yes
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1 Oct 2024