Chester 1-0 Stockton Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.49
Away
23%
5.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
41%
2.29
Over 2.5
59%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.81
No
49%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
28%
1/2
4%
1/X
10%
X/1
22%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
5%
2/2
7%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
66%
-11.3pp
22%
Draw
19%
+3.0pp
23%
Away Win
14%
+8.3pp
41%
Under 2.5
40%
+1.2pp
59%
Over 2.5
60%
-1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.2pp
49%
BTTS No
49%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 17%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-13% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
421 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 301 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Stockton Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
28.09.2024 Stockton Town 1-1 Chester Chester FAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
1-0
AWAY Stockton Town
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 6
3 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Chester vs Stockton Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester nicked a narrow win over Stockton Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Chester as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Chester had 43% of the ball to Stockton Town's 57%, shots finished 11-6.

What was the final score of Chester vs Stockton Town?

Chester 1-0 Stockton Town in the England - FA Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Stockton Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Chester 55%, draw 22%, Stockton Town 23%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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