Hednesford Town 1-0 Shifnal Town FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.47
Draw
25%
4.34
Away
24%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.21
Over 2.5
51%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.76
No
48%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
5%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
51%
Home Win
64%
-12.8pp
25%
Draw
20%
+5.3pp
24%
Away Win
16%
+7.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
41%
+7.4pp
51%
Over 2.5
59%
-7.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.4pp
48%
BTTS No
47%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hednesford Town EU Bookmakers 68%
Head to Head
AWAY Shifnal Town FC EU Bookmakers 20%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
350 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hednesford Town
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Shifnal Town FC
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
28.09.2024 Shifnal Town FC 0-0 Hednesford Town Hednesford Town FAK
POST-MATCH Hednesford Town vs Shifnal Town FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hednesford Town nicked a narrow win over Shifnal Town FC 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Hednesford Town as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

What was the final score of Hednesford Town vs Shifnal Town FC?

Hednesford Town 1-0 Shifnal Town FC in the England - FA Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hednesford Town vs Shifnal Town FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hednesford Town win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Hednesford Town 51%, draw 25%, Shifnal Town FC 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Hednesford Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Hednesford Town) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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