Peterborough Sports 1-0 Royston Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
1.75
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
33%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.03
Over 2.5
51%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.7
No
49%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
12%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
54%
-12.7pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.9pp
33%
Away Win
22%
+10.8pp
49%
Under 2.5
45%
+3.8pp
51%
Over 2.5
55%
-3.8pp
51%
BTTS Yes
55%
-4.1pp
49%
BTTS No
45%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Peterborough Sports EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Royston Town EU Bookmakers 25%
+13% / +13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +25% / +25%
1.82/1.02 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.88/1.33
-10% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +47% / +43%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
403 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 207 · 69%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Peterborough Sports
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Royston Town
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
60% Ball Possession 40%
21 Total Shots 3
11 Shots on Target 1
10 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Royston Town Royston Town 0-0 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports FAK
02.04.2022 Royston Town Royston Town 1-2 HT 0-2 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports İNGNLP
16.11.2021 Peterborough Sports Peterborough Sports 3-0 HT 1-0 Royston Town Royston Town İNGNLP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Peterborough Sports
1-0
AWAY Royston Town
58% Ball Possession 42%
13 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Peterborough Sports vs Royston Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Peterborough Sports edged past Royston Town 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Peterborough Sports as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Peterborough Sports had 58% of the ball to Royston Town's 42%, shots finished 13-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Peterborough Sports had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Peterborough Sports and 0.33 for Royston Town.

What was the final score of Peterborough Sports vs Royston Town?

Peterborough Sports 1-0 Royston Town in the England - FA Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Peterborough Sports vs Royston Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Peterborough Sports win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Peterborough Sports 41%, draw 26%, Royston Town 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Peterborough Sports) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Peterborough Sports) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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