Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 1 Oct 2024

📅01/10/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 3-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
1.97
Over 2.5
57%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.75
No
43%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
15%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
53%
-14.7pp
24%
Draw
24%
+0.5pp
37%
Away Win
23%
+14.2pp
43%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.5pp
57%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.5pp
57%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.2pp
43%
BTTS No
47%
-4.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +10%
3.07/1.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.00
+53% / -20% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / +72%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
640 · 86% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 295 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
57% Ball Possession 43%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 1-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare FAK
09.04.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-1 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare squeezed past Chippenham Town 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Weston-super-Mare found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Weston-super-Mare and 0.67 for Chippenham Town.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Weston-super-Mare 1-0 Chippenham Town in the England - FA Cup on 01/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 39%, draw 24%, Chippenham Town 37%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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