Weston-super-Mare 2-1 Chippenham Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.92
Draw
23%
3.28
Away
34%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.75
Over 2.5
46%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.85
No
54%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.77
4-5 Goals
21%
3.96
6+ Goals
9%
18.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
9%
X/2
13%
X/X
9%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
48%
-5.4pp
23%
Draw
27%
-3.7pp
34%
Away Win
25%
+9.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
53%
+1.2pp
46%
Over 2.5
47%
-1.2pp
46%
BTTS Yes
50%
-4.1pp
54%
BTTS No
50%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 29%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +18%
2.21/1.59 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.99/1.11
+32% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -15% / +36%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
367 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Weston-super-Mare
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Chippenham Town
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 11
2 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 0
05.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Weston-super-Mare
2-1
AWAY Chippenham Town
66% Ball Possession 34%
13 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Weston-super-Mare nicked a narrow win over Chippenham Town 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Weston-super-Mare as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Weston-super-Mare had 66% of the ball to Chippenham Town's 34%, shots finished 13-14.

What was the final score of Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Weston-super-Mare 2-1 Chippenham Town in the England - Conference on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Weston-super-Mare vs Chippenham Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Weston-super-Mare 42%, draw 23%, Chippenham Town 34%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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