Kings Lynn Town 1-0 Chorley — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
40%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.68
Over 2.5
45%
2.07
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.88
No
54%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2.78
2-3 Goals
37%
1.77
4-5 Goals
23%
4.2
6+ Goals
9%
20.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
10%
1/X
9%
X/1
12%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
8%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.3pp
40%
Away Win
45%
-5.0pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-0.9pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+0.9pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kings Lynn Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Chorley EU Bookmakers 49%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +8%
1.03/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.31/1.05
-20% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
301 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kings Lynn Town
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Chorley
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
12 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
3 Yellow Cards 2
26.08.2023 Chorley Chorley 3-1 HT 1-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
01.04.2023 Chorley Chorley 0-1 HT 0-0 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town İCON
08.10.2022 Kings Lynn Town Kings Lynn Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chorley Chorley İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kings Lynn Town
1-0
AWAY Chorley
37% Ball Possession 63%
5 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 4
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kings Lynn Town vs Chorley
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kings Lynn Town nicked a narrow win over Chorley 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 28% / 40% — and on the day Kings Lynn Town made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Kings Lynn Town had 37% of the ball to Chorley's 63%, shots finished 5-7.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kings Lynn Town had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kings Lynn Town and 1.00 for Chorley.

What was the final score of Kings Lynn Town vs Chorley?

Kings Lynn Town 1-0 Chorley in the England - Conference on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kings Lynn Town vs Chorley?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chorley win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kings Lynn Town 32%, draw 28%, Chorley 40%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Chorley) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chorley) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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