Maidstone United 2-0 Weymouth — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 9 Apr 2024

📅09/04/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.57
Draw
29%
3.72
Away
24%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.86
Over 2.5
42%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.9
No
53%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
28%
3.27
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
14.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.27 — our 28% vs market 25.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
13%
2/1
10%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
59%
-12.7pp
29%
Draw
23%
+5.5pp
24%
Away Win
17%
+7.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
50%
+7.6pp
42%
Over 2.5
50%
-7.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.1pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maidstone United EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Weymouth EU Bookmakers 21%
+7% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +2%
1.96/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.89/1.90
+5% / +11% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -6%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
395 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maidstone United
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Weymouth
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
2 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
02.09.2023 Weymouth Weymouth 2-3 HT 1-1 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
29.02.2020 Weymouth Weymouth 5-1 HT 3-0 Maidstone United Maidstone United İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maidstone United
2-0
AWAY Weymouth
64% Ball Possession 36%
9 Total Shots 4
2 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maidstone United vs Weymouth
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maidstone United beat Weymouth 2-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Maidstone United as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Maidstone United had 64% of the ball to Weymouth's 36%, shots finished 9-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Maidstone United and 3.50 for Weymouth.

What was the final score of Maidstone United vs Weymouth?

Maidstone United 2-0 Weymouth in the England - Conference on 09/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maidstone United vs Weymouth?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maidstone United win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Maidstone United 47%, draw 29%, Weymouth 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maidstone United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maidstone United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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