Chippenham Town 1-1 Weston-super-Mare — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.08
Draw
25%
3.45
Away
43%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
10%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
29%
+2.8pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.1pp
43%
Away Win
45%
-2.7pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.9pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chippenham Town EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Weston-super-Mare EU Bookmakers 49%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
315 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 358 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chippenham Town
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Weston-super-Mare
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
43% Ball Possession 57%
12 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
09.04.2024 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare 2-1 HT 1-1 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town İCON
05.03.2024 Chippenham Town Chippenham Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Weston-super-Mare Weston-super-Mare İCON
POST-MATCH Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chippenham Town and Weston-super-Mare couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Weston-super-Mare at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Weston-super-Mare led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Chippenham Town and 1.50 for Weston-super-Mare.

What was the final score of Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Chippenham Town 1-1 Weston-super-Mare in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chippenham Town vs Weston-super-Mare?

Before kick-off our model rated an Weston-super-Mare win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Chippenham Town 32%, draw 26%, Weston-super-Mare 43%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Weston-super-Mare) ✓ BTTS Yes
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