Stockton Town 1-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - FA Cup, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 0-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
4.13
Draw
27%
3.94
Away
43%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.18
Over 2.5
54%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
12%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
25%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
21%
+9.7pp
27%
Draw
22%
+4.6pp
43%
Away Win
57%
-14.3pp
46%
Under 2.5
42%
+4.0pp
54%
Over 2.5
58%
-4.0pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-6.7pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+6.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stockton Town EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 62%
+60% / +60% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -26% / -26%
3.00/2.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/0.00
+127% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% /
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 397 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 2.0
POST-MATCH Stockton Town vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stockton Town and Chester shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Chester at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Stockton Town vs Chester?

Stockton Town 1-1 Chester in the England - FA Cup on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stockton Town vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated an Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Stockton Town 30%, draw 27%, Chester 43%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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