Chester 3-0 Hereford FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 2 Nov 2024

📅02/11/2024 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
32%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.67
Over 2.5
39%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.7
2-3 Goals
39%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.33
6+ Goals
8%
21.85
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.7 — our 35% vs market 31.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
7%
2/2
13%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.9pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.2pp
32%
Away Win
30%
+2.7pp
61%
Under 2.5
56%
+4.8pp
39%
Over 2.5
44%
-4.8pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.8pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chester EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 33%
+6% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +17%
1.74/0.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.30
+16% / +38% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +7%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
360 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chester
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Hereford FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
20.02.2024 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-1 HT 0-1 Chester Chester İCON
05.09.2023 Chester Chester 1-2 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
28.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
16.08.2022 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
19.02.2022 Chester Chester 2-3 HT 1-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
20.11.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chester
3-0
AWAY Hereford FC
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 4
9 Shots on Target 1
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Chester vs Hereford FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chester ran out comfortable winners over Hereford FC 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 28% / 32%) promised a tight game; Chester found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Chester had 46% of the ball to Hereford FC's 54%, shots finished 10-4.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Chester and 1.50 for Hereford FC.

What was the final score of Chester vs Hereford FC?

Chester 3-0 Hereford FC in the England - Conference on 02/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chester vs Hereford FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chester win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Chester 39%, draw 28%, Hereford FC 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chester), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chester) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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