Hereford FC 1-1 Chester — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
34%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.56
Over 2.5
43%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.96
No
51%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.42
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
21%
4.95
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
20%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
34%
+3.7pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
34%
Away Win
38%
-3.6pp
57%
Under 2.5
60%
-3.4pp
43%
Over 2.5
40%
+3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.7pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hereford FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Chester EU Bookmakers 42%
+4% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
1.53/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.17
+15% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +1% / +11%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
276 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 328 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hereford FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Chester
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 8
2 Yellow Cards 2
05.09.2023 Chester Chester 1-2 HT 1-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
28.02.2023 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-2 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
16.08.2022 Chester Chester 0-1 HT 0-0 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
19.02.2022 Chester Chester 2-3 HT 1-1 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
20.11.2021 Hereford FC Hereford FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Chester Chester İCON
08.12.2020 Chester Chester 5-3 HT 1-2 Hereford FC Hereford FC İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hereford FC
1-1
AWAY Chester
57% Ball Possession 43%
8 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 8
POST-MATCH Hereford FC vs Chester
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hereford FC and Chester couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 28% / 34% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

On the day, Hereford FC had 57% of the ball to Chester's 43%, shots finished 8-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hereford FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Hereford FC and 1.67 for Chester.

What was the final score of Hereford FC vs Chester?

Hereford FC 1-1 Chester in the England - Conference on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hereford FC vs Chester?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hereford FC win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Hereford FC 37%, draw 28%, Chester 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Hereford FC), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Hereford FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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