Buxton 2-0 Gloucester City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - Conference, 20 Feb 2024

📅20/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.76
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
30%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.9
Over 2.5
53%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.79
4-5 Goals
23%
3.54
6+ Goals
11%
13.95
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
53%
-8.5pp
25%
Draw
24%
+1.2pp
30%
Away Win
23%
+7.3pp
47%
Under 2.5
49%
-1.4pp
53%
Over 2.5
51%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+2.8pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Buxton EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Gloucester City EU Bookmakers 26%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +16%
1.61/1.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.78
-12% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
346 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Buxton
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Gloucester City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 4
05.09.2023 Gloucester City Gloucester City 0-0 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
04.03.2023 Buxton Buxton 2-1 HT 2-0 Gloucester City Gloucester City İCON
08.11.2022 Gloucester City Gloucester City 0-1 HT 0-0 Buxton Buxton İCON
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Buxton
2-0
AWAY Gloucester City
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 0
7 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Buxton vs Gloucester City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Buxton beat Gloucester City 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Buxton as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Buxton had 47% of the ball to Gloucester City's 53%, shots finished 13-4.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Buxton had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Buxton and 0.33 for Gloucester City.

What was the final score of Buxton vs Gloucester City?

Buxton 2-0 Gloucester City in the England - Conference on 20/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Buxton vs Gloucester City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Buxton win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Buxton 44%, draw 25%, Gloucester City 30%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Buxton) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Buxton) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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